This game · 136 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Indiana Fever won — the process matched the result.
led the way with 33 points on 10-for-14 (71%), headlined by 4-for-6 from above the break — 10.4 more than expected overall on a night most other looks were tougher.
- Indiana Fever created 1.9 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Indiana Fever outperformed expected value by 15.7 points on finishing.
- Q3 swung the look battle — Indiana Fever built a +6.5 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Indiana Fever (46% good looks) and New York Liberty (39% good looks) ran comparable diets with small zone-by-zone differences.
carried the offense at the rim — 4/4 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 30% of New York's attempts came from the rim vs 38% of Indiana's, with Indiana leaning on the higher-value zone (38% vs 30%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 30% of New York's attempts came from the rim vs 38% of Indiana's, with Indiana leaning on the higher-value zone (38% vs 30%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Indiana Fever won by 34.0 pts
Indiana Fever won 2 of 3 process categories outside the shot log.
Free throws, turnovers, and offensive rebounds come from ESPN box scores — complementary to FGA-only shot quality above.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightClark's strongest zone was Cor 3 — 100% from Cor 3 (1/1) vs. a 32% expectation.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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