This game · 116 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Chicago Sky won by getting the better shots.
led the way with 16 points on 6-for-11 (55%), headlined by 3-for-3 at the rim — 2.8 more than expected overall.
- Chicago Sky created 6.2 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Both teams finished below expectation — Chicago Sky held up better (1.8 pts below expected).
- Q1 swung the look battle — Chicago Sky built a +7.7 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Phoenix Mercury got the cleaner diet — 54% rim or corner looks vs 42% for Chicago Sky.
bailed out the offense from the midrange — 2/2 from short midrange, a zone most players avoid for good reason.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 32% of Chicago's attempts came from the rim vs 41% of Phoenix's, with Phoenix leaning on the higher-value zone (41% vs 32%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 32% of Chicago's attempts came from the rim vs 41% of Phoenix's, with Phoenix leaning on the higher-value zone (41% vs 32%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Chicago Sky won by 22.0 pts
Chicago Sky won 2 of 3 process categories outside the shot log.
Free throws, turnovers, and offensive rebounds come from ESPN box scores — complementary to FGA-only shot quality above.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightCopper found the right spots (63% from the rim or corner) but couldn't finish — +0.6 below expected on those looks.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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