This game · 142 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Dallas Wings won by getting the better shots.
led the way with 18 points on 7-for-14 (50%), headlined by 3-for-3 at the rim — 2.6 more than expected overall on a night most other looks were tougher.
- Dallas Wings created 19.4 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Both teams finished close to expectation on makes and misses.
- Q2 swung the look battle — Dallas Wings built a +11.7 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Seattle Storm got the cleaner diet — 33% rim or corner looks vs 22% for Dallas Wings.
bailed out the offense from the midrange — 3/3 from long midrange, a zone most players avoid for good reason.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 26% of Seattle's attempts came from the rim vs 19% of Dallas's, with Seattle leaning on the higher-value zone (26% vs 19%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 26% of Seattle's attempts came from the rim vs 19% of Dallas's, with Seattle leaning on the higher-value zone (26% vs 19%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Dallas Wings won by 41.6 pts
Dallas Wings won the turnover battle by 6 (17 total TO).
Turnovers never enter the shot log — a clean process win even when looks were even.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightJames lived in the midrange — 50% of attempts from tough spots, dragging shot quality down.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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