This game · 152 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Chicago Sky won — the process matched the result.
led the way with 13 points on 3-for-5 (60%), headlined by 2-for-3 from above the break — 2.5 more than expected overall on a night most other looks were tougher, with Rachel Banham close behind (+2.4 on 6 points, 2-for-4 on tough looks).
- Chicago Sky created 0.8 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Chicago Sky outperformed expected value by 0.1 points on makes and misses.
- Chicago Sky's edge came from rim pressure — 42% of attempts at the restricted area.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Chicago Sky got the cleaner diet — 57% rim or corner looks vs 42% for Seattle Storm.
carried the offense at the rim — 7/8 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 37% of Seattle's attempts came from the rim vs 42% of Chicago's, with Chicago leaning on the higher-value zone (42% vs 37%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 37% of Seattle's attempts came from the rim vs 42% of Chicago's, with Chicago leaning on the higher-value zone (42% vs 37%).
Possession context
SEA ran more early offense in this game.
Seattle Storm got 36% of FGA in transition (1.06 expected pts/att) vs 18% for Chicago Sky (1.05 expected pts/att).
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Seattle Storm won by 2.5 pts — SQ edge said CHI.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightStevens found the right spots (69% from the rim or corner) but couldn't finish — +0.5 below expected on those looks.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
Learn how it works →