This game · 130 FGA|Season model · 357 games · 48,742 shots
Golden State Valkyries won by getting the better shots.
led the way with 17 points on 6-for-10 (60%), headlined by 4-for-6 from above the break — 6.2 more than expected overall on a night most other looks were tougher.
- Golden State Valkyries created 11.0 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Both teams finished below expectation — Golden State Valkyries held up better (2.8 pts below expected).
- Q3 swung the look battle — Golden State Valkyries built a +6.9 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Golden State Valkyries (35% good looks) and Portland Fire (33% good looks) ran comparable diets with small zone-by-zone differences.
carried the offense at the rim — 4/4 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 23% of Portland's attempts came from the rim vs 17% of Golden State's, with Portland leaning on the higher-value zone (23% vs 17%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 23% of Portland's attempts came from the rim vs 17% of Golden State's, with Portland leaning on the higher-value zone (23% vs 17%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Golden State Valkyries won by 24.0 pts
Golden State Valkyries won the turnover battle by 8 (22 total TO).
Turnovers never enter the shot log — a clean process win even when looks were even.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightHayes's strongest zone was Rim — 100% from Rim (4/4) vs. a 59% expectation.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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