This game · 142 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Toronto Tempo won by getting the better shots.
led the way with 14 points on 6-for-9 (67%), headlined by 2-for-2 from above the break — 4.8 more than expected overall on a night most other looks were tougher.
- Toronto Tempo created 13.0 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Both teams finished below expectation — Chicago Sky held up better (14.8 pts below expected).
- Q3 swung the look battle — Toronto Tempo built a +8.0 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Toronto Tempo (46% good looks) and Chicago Sky (40% good looks) ran comparable diets with small zone-by-zone differences.
carried the offense at the rim — 6/8 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 31% of Chicago's attempts came from the rim vs 38% of Toronto's, with Toronto leaning on the higher-value zone (38% vs 31%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 31% of Chicago's attempts came from the rim vs 38% of Toronto's, with Toronto leaning on the higher-value zone (38% vs 31%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Toronto Tempo won by 28.2 pts
Toronto Tempo won the turnover battle by 6 (16 total TO).
Turnovers never enter the shot log — a clean process win even when looks were even.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightSykes found the right spots (56% from the rim or corner) but couldn't finish — -5.7 below expected on those looks.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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