This game · 140 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Minnesota Lynx won by getting the better shots.
led the way with 27 points on 12-for-16 (75%), headlined by 10-for-11 at the rim — 6.1 more than expected overall with 69% of attempts from the rim or corner.
- Minnesota Lynx created 16.0 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Both teams finished below expectation — Minnesota Lynx held up better (1.0 pts below expected).
- Q3 swung the look battle — Minnesota Lynx built a +7.9 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Minnesota Lynx attacked the rim more — 36% of attempts in the restricted area vs 27% for Seattle Storm.
carried the offense at the rim — 10/11 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 44% of Seattle's attempts came from above-arc threes vs 29% of Minnesota's; Seattle tilted here more (44% vs 29%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 44% of Seattle's attempts came from above-arc threes vs 29% of Minnesota's; Seattle tilted here more (44% vs 29%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Minnesota Lynx won by 34.1 pts
Minnesota Lynx won the turnover battle by 9 (23 total TO).
Turnovers never enter the shot log — a clean process win even when looks were even.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightHoward was sharp — 69% of attempts from good spots, headlined by 91% from Rim (10/11) against a 62% baseline.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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