This game · 112 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Golden State Valkyries won by getting the better shots.

led the way with 26 points on 7-for-10 (70%), headlined by 4-for-5 from above the break — 8.0 more than expected overall (40% from the rim or corner).
- Golden State Valkyries created 2.5 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Golden State Valkyries outperformed expected value by 3.2 points on finishing.
- Q3 swung the look battle — Toronto Tempo built a +7.0 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Toronto Tempo (43% good looks) and Golden State Valkyries (34% good looks) ran comparable diets with small zone-by-zone differences.

carried the offense at the rim — 6/8 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 41% of Golden State's attempts came from above-arc threes vs 26% of Toronto's; Golden State tilted here more (41% vs 26%).

This is where the shot diets diverged most — 41% of Golden State's attempts came from above-arc threes vs 26% of Toronto's; Golden State tilted here more (41% vs 26%).
Possession context

Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard

Full process edge
Golden State Valkyries won by 17.3 pts
Golden State Valkyries won 3 of 3 process categories outside the shot log.
Free throws, turnovers, and offensive rebounds come from ESPN box scores — complementary to FGA-only shot quality above.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightHarrison was sharp — 53% of attempts from good spots, headlined by 75% from Paint (3/4) against a 40% baseline.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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