This game · 142 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Washington Mystics won by getting the better shots.
led the way with 27 points on 10-for-18 (56%), headlined by 2-for-2 from long midrange — 5.5 more than expected overall on a night most other looks were tougher.
- Washington Mystics created 2.3 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Both teams finished close to expectation on makes and misses.
- Q2 swung the look battle — Washington Mystics built a +4.7 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Washington Mystics (20% good looks) and Seattle Storm (19% good looks) ran comparable diets with small zone-by-zone differences.
carried the offense at the rim — 4/4 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 14% of Seattle's attempts came from the rim vs 15% of Washington's, with Washington leaning on the higher-value zone (15% vs 14%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 14% of Seattle's attempts came from the rim vs 15% of Washington's, with Washington leaning on the higher-value zone (15% vs 14%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Washington Mystics won by 3.7 pts
Washington Mystics won the turnover battle by 5 (20 total TO).
Turnovers never enter the shot log — a clean process win even when looks were even.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightAustin created in difficult areas and delivered — 100% from L.Mid (2/2) well above the 39% baseline for that zone.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
Learn how it works →