This game · 145 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
New York Liberty won by getting the better shots.
scored with 13 points on 5-for-10 (50%), including 3-for-5 from three — 1.4 more than expected (80% from the rim or corner).
- New York Liberty created 12.0 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Los Angeles Sparks outperformed expected value by 6.3 points on makes and misses.
- Q1 swung the look battle — New York Liberty built a +8.4 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
New York Liberty got the cleaner diet — 49% rim or corner looks vs 31% for Los Angeles Sparks.
carried the offense at the rim — 3/4 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 25% of Los Angeles's attempts came from the rim vs 38% of New York's, with New York leaning on the higher-value zone (38% vs 25%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 25% of Los Angeles's attempts came from the rim vs 38% of New York's, with New York leaning on the higher-value zone (38% vs 25%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
New York Liberty won by 16.2 pts
New York Liberty won 3 of 3 process categories outside the shot log.
Free throws, turnovers, and offensive rebounds come from ESPN box scores — complementary to FGA-only shot quality above.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightIonescu's strongest zone was Paint — 50% from Paint (2/4) vs. a 40% expectation.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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