This game · 139 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Dallas Wings won by getting the better shots.
led the way with 24 points on 11-for-19 (58%), headlined by 5-for-8 from long midrange — 6.2 more than expected overall on a night most other looks were tougher.
- Dallas Wings created 4.3 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Dallas Wings outperformed expected value by 9.4 points on finishing.
- Q3 swung the look battle — Chicago Sky built a +4.9 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Dallas Wings lived in the midrange (33%) while Chicago Sky was at 15% — a cleaner profile for Chicago Sky.
bailed out the offense from the midrange — 5/8 from long midrange, a zone most players avoid for good reason.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 25% of Dallas's attempts came from long midrange vs 4% of Chicago's; Dallas settled here more often (25% vs 4%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 25% of Dallas's attempts came from long midrange vs 4% of Chicago's; Dallas settled here more often (25% vs 4%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Dallas Wings won by 10.1 pts
Dallas Wings won 2 of 3 process categories outside the shot log.
Free throws, turnovers, and offensive rebounds come from ESPN box scores — complementary to FGA-only shot quality above.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightDiggins's strongest zone was Paint — 100% from Paint (2/2) vs. a 41% expectation.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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