This game · 127 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Golden State Valkyries won by getting the better shots.
led the way with 21 points on 8-for-12 (67%), headlined by 3-for-4 from above the break — 7.3 more than expected overall on a night most other looks were tougher.
- Golden State Valkyries created 6.9 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Both teams finished close to expectation on makes and misses.
- Q3 swung the look battle — Golden State Valkyries built a +7.8 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Golden State Valkyries (31% good looks) and Toronto Tempo (39% good looks) ran comparable diets with small zone-by-zone differences.
found the right spots — 3 attempts from the corner — but couldn't convert, going 0/3.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 36% of Toronto's attempts came from above-arc threes vs 41% of Golden State's; Golden State tilted here more (41% vs 36%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 36% of Toronto's attempts came from above-arc threes vs 41% of Golden State's; Golden State tilted here more (41% vs 36%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Golden State Valkyries won by 27.5 pts
Golden State Valkyries won 3 of 3 process categories outside the shot log.
Free throws, turnovers, and offensive rebounds come from ESPN box scores — complementary to FGA-only shot quality above.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightSalaun's strongest zone was Above — 75% from Above (3/4) vs. a 37% expectation.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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