This game · 140 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Seattle Storm won by getting the better shots.
made every look count with 9 points on 3-for-4 (75%), headlined by 2-for-2 from the corner — 4.1 more than expected overall with 50% of attempts from the rim or corner.
- Seattle Storm created 9.6 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Seattle Storm outperformed expected value by 1.4 points on makes and misses.
- Q2 swung the look battle — Seattle Storm built a +5.4 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Seattle Storm got the cleaner diet — 24% rim or corner looks vs 14% for Los Angeles Sparks.
carried the offense at the rim — 3/4 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 17% of Seattle's attempts came from the paint vs 34% of Los Angeles's; Los Angeles tilted here more (34% vs 17%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 17% of Seattle's attempts came from the paint vs 34% of Los Angeles's; Los Angeles tilted here more (34% vs 17%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Seattle Storm won by 36.1 pts
Seattle Storm won the turnover battle by 6 (19 total TO).
Turnovers never enter the shot log — a clean process win even when looks were even.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightOgwumike's strongest zone was Rim — 100% from Rim (2/2) vs. a 60% expectation.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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