This game · 137 FGA|Season model · 357 games · 48,742 shots
New York Liberty won by getting the better shots.
led the way with 21 points on 9-for-14 (64%), headlined by 7-for-8 at the rim — 3.8 more than expected overall with 64% of attempts from the rim or corner, with Sabrina Ionescu close behind (+3.3 on 18 points).
- New York Liberty created 8.0 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- New York Liberty outperformed expected value by 1.8 points on makes and misses.
- Q1 swung the look battle — New York Liberty built a +5.6 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
New York Liberty got the cleaner diet — 41% rim or corner looks vs 25% for Minnesota Lynx.
carried the offense at the rim — 7/8 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 25% of Minnesota's attempts came from long midrange vs 4% of New York's; Minnesota settled here more often (25% vs 4%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 25% of Minnesota's attempts came from long midrange vs 4% of New York's; Minnesota settled here more often (25% vs 4%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
New York Liberty won by 28.0 pts
New York Liberty won 2 of 3 process categories outside the shot log.
Free throws, turnovers, and offensive rebounds come from ESPN box scores — complementary to FGA-only shot quality above.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightStewart's strongest zone was Rim — 75% from Rim (3/4) vs. a 57% expectation.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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