This game · 149 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Dallas Wings won on finishing, not shot quality.

led the way with 22 points on 9-for-15 (60%), headlined by 2-for-2 in the interior — 6.7 more than expected overall on a night most other looks were tougher.
- Las Vegas Aces created 10.2 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Dallas Wings outperformed expected value by 8.7 points on finishing.
- Q2 swung the look battle — Las Vegas Aces built a +4.8 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Las Vegas Aces lived in the midrange (42%) while Dallas Wings was at 31% — a cleaner profile for Dallas Wings.

carried the offense at the rim — 6/7 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 18% of Las Vegas's attempts came from above-arc threes vs 30% of Dallas's; Dallas tilted here more (30% vs 18%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 18% of Las Vegas's attempts came from above-arc threes vs 30% of Dallas's; Dallas tilted here more (30% vs 18%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Dallas Wings won by 3.0 pts — SQ edge said LV.
Las Vegas Aces got the better looks, but Dallas Wings carried the process scorecard.
Dallas Wings won the free-throw line by 12 pts and the turnover battle by 5. Those stops never show up in expected pts per attempt.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightBueckers's strongest zone was Paint — 100% from Paint (2/2) vs. a 40% expectation.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
Learn how it works →





