This game · 127 FGA|Season model · 357 games · 48,742 shots
Los Angeles Sparks won by getting the better shots.

led the way with 24 points on 11-for-16 (69%), headlined by 6-for-6 at the rim — 8.1 more than expected overall.
- Los Angeles Sparks created 2.9 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Los Angeles Sparks outperformed expected value by 14.2 points on finishing.
- The game flipped in the fourth quarter — Los Angeles Sparks created a +3.9 expected-point edge in Q4.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Los Angeles Sparks got the cleaner diet — 44% rim or corner looks vs 29% for Washington Mystics.

carried the offense at the rim — 6/6 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 25% of Washington's attempts came from the rim vs 44% of Los Angeles's, with Los Angeles leaning on the higher-value zone (44% vs 25%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 25% of Washington's attempts came from the rim vs 44% of Los Angeles's, with Los Angeles leaning on the higher-value zone (44% vs 25%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Los Angeles Sparks won by 20.9 pts
Los Angeles Sparks won the turnover battle by 7 (17 total TO).
Turnovers never enter the shot log — a clean process win even when looks were even.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightOgwumike created in difficult areas and delivered — 100% from Rim (6/6) well above the 60% baseline for that zone.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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