This game · 132 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Dallas Wings won by getting the better shots.
led the way with 25 points on 9-for-14 (64%), headlined by 4-for-5 at the rim — 5.8 more than expected overall.
- Dallas Wings created 7.9 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Dallas Wings outperformed expected value by 6.3 points on finishing.
- Q3 swung the look battle — Dallas Wings built a +8.8 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Connecticut Sun attacked the rim more — 34% of attempts in the restricted area vs 22% for Dallas Wings.
carried the offense at the rim — 4/5 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 22% of Dallas's attempts came from the rim vs 34% of Connecticut's, with Connecticut leaning on the higher-value zone (34% vs 22%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 22% of Dallas's attempts came from the rim vs 34% of Connecticut's, with Connecticut leaning on the higher-value zone (34% vs 22%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Connecticut Sun won by 4.3 pts — SQ edge said DAL.
Dallas Wings got the better looks, but Connecticut Sun carried the process scorecard.
Connecticut Sun won the free-throw line by 11 pts. Those stops never show up in expected pts per attempt.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightLacan lived in the midrange — 43% of attempts from tough spots, dragging shot quality down.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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