This game · 145 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Minnesota Lynx won by getting the better shots.
led the way with 22 points on 7-for-14 (50%), headlined by 2-for-2 from the corner — 4.2 more than expected overall.
- Minnesota Lynx created 12.4 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Minnesota Lynx outperformed expected value by 7.1 points on finishing.
- Q2 swung the look battle — Minnesota Lynx built a +8.1 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Minnesota Lynx attacked the rim more — 38% of attempts in the restricted area vs 23% for Las Vegas Aces.
carried the offense at the rim — 4/5 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 23% of Las Vegas's attempts came from the rim vs 38% of Minnesota's, with Minnesota leaning on the higher-value zone (38% vs 23%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 23% of Las Vegas's attempts came from the rim vs 38% of Minnesota's, with Minnesota leaning on the higher-value zone (38% vs 23%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Minnesota Lynx won by 18.9 pts
Minnesota Lynx got the better looks, but Las Vegas Aces carried the process scorecard.
Las Vegas Aces won the free-throw line by 8 pts. Those stops never show up in expected pts per attempt.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightMiles found the right spots (56% from the rim or corner) but couldn't finish — +0.6 below expected on those looks.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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