This game · 133 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Los Angeles Sparks won on finishing, not shot quality.
led the way with 27 points on 7-for-11 (64%), headlined by 5-for-6 at the rim — 4.3 more than expected overall with 55% of attempts from the rim or corner.
- Phoenix Mercury created 4.9 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Los Angeles Sparks outperformed expected value by 9.2 points on makes and misses.
- Phoenix Mercury's edge came from rim pressure — 45% of attempts at the restricted area.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Phoenix Mercury got the cleaner diet — 54% rim or corner looks vs 41% for Los Angeles Sparks.
carried the offense at the rim — 5/6 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 33% of Los Angeles's attempts came from the rim vs 45% of Phoenix's, with Phoenix leaning on the higher-value zone (45% vs 33%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 33% of Los Angeles's attempts came from the rim vs 45% of Phoenix's, with Phoenix leaning on the higher-value zone (45% vs 33%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Los Angeles Sparks won by 5.8 pts — SQ edge said PHX.
Phoenix Mercury won 3 of 3 process categories outside the shot log.
Free throws, turnovers, and offensive rebounds come from ESPN box scores — complementary to FGA-only shot quality above.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightCopper struggled most from Above — 1/6 against a 33% baseline.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
Learn how it works →