This game · 151 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Chicago Sky won by getting the better shots.
led the way with 11 points on 4-for-7 (57%), headlined by 2-for-3 from above the break — 2.9 more than expected overall on a night most other looks were tougher.
- Chicago Sky created 5.0 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Both teams finished below expectation — Las Vegas Aces held up better (4.7 pts below expected).
- Chicago Sky's edge came from rim pressure — 39% of attempts at the restricted area.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Chicago Sky got the cleaner diet — 46% rim or corner looks vs 27% for Las Vegas Aces.
bailed out the offense from the midrange — 5/8 from long midrange, a zone most players avoid for good reason.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 23% of Las Vegas's attempts came from the rim vs 39% of Chicago's, with Chicago leaning on the higher-value zone (39% vs 23%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 23% of Las Vegas's attempts came from the rim vs 39% of Chicago's, with Chicago leaning on the higher-value zone (39% vs 23%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Las Vegas Aces won by 2.9 pts — SQ edge said CHI.
Chicago Sky won 2 of 3 process categories outside the shot log.
Free throws, turnovers, and offensive rebounds come from ESPN box scores — complementary to FGA-only shot quality above.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightTaylor's strongest zone was Cor 3 — 67% from Cor 3 (2/3) vs. a 40% expectation.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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