This game · 141 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Dallas Wings won by getting the better shots.
led the way with 22 points on 11-for-16 (69%), headlined by 6-for-6 at the rim — 6.4 more than expected overall.
- Dallas Wings created 9.2 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Dallas Wings outperformed expected value by 1.7 points on makes and misses.
- Q2 swung the look battle — Dallas Wings built a +4.7 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Dallas Wings lived in the midrange (28%) while New York Liberty was at 12% — a cleaner profile for New York Liberty.
carried the offense at the rim — 6/6 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 22% of Dallas's attempts came from the rim vs 26% of New York's, with New York leaning on the higher-value zone (26% vs 22%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 22% of Dallas's attempts came from the rim vs 26% of New York's, with New York leaning on the higher-value zone (26% vs 22%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Dallas Wings won by 23.1 pts
Dallas Wings won 2 of 3 process categories outside the shot log.
Free throws, turnovers, and offensive rebounds come from ESPN box scores — complementary to FGA-only shot quality above.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightStewart created in difficult areas and delivered — 80% from Paint (4/5) well above the 41% baseline for that zone.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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