This game · 141 FGA|Season model · 357 games · 48,742 shots
Washington Mystics won by getting the better shots.
led the way with 18 points on 8-for-12 (67%), headlined by 6-for-8 at the rim — 4.0 more than expected overall with 67% of attempts from the rim or corner, with Georgia Amoore close behind (+3.4 on 12 points).
- Washington Mystics created 12.8 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Washington Mystics outperformed expected value by 11.0 points on makes and misses.
- Q2 swung the look battle — Washington Mystics built a +8.4 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Chicago Sky (46% good looks) and Washington Mystics (55% good looks) ran comparable diets with small zone-by-zone differences.
carried the offense at the rim — 6/8 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 44% of Washington's attempts came from the rim vs 38% of Chicago's, with Washington leaning on the higher-value zone (44% vs 38%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 44% of Washington's attempts came from the rim vs 38% of Chicago's, with Washington leaning on the higher-value zone (44% vs 38%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Washington Mystics won by 49.1 pts
Washington Mystics won the turnover battle by 8 (17 total TO).
Turnovers never enter the shot log — a clean process win even when looks were even.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightTaylor went 4/12 (33% FG), -1.7 vs expected — 25% from the rim or corner.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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