This game · 146 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Seattle Storm won by getting the better shots.
led the way with 20 points on 9-for-12 (75%), headlined by 7-for-8 at the rim — 5.7 more than expected overall with 67% of attempts from the rim or corner.
- Seattle Storm created 2.9 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Seattle Storm outperformed expected value by 7.8 points on makes and misses.
- The game flipped in the fourth quarter — Seattle Storm created a +6.0 expected-point edge in Q4.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Seattle Storm attacked the rim more — 43% of attempts in the restricted area vs 31% for New York Liberty.
carried the offense at the rim — 7/8 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 31% of New York's attempts came from the rim vs 43% of Seattle's, with Seattle leaning on the higher-value zone (43% vs 31%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 31% of New York's attempts came from the rim vs 43% of Seattle's, with Seattle leaning on the higher-value zone (43% vs 31%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Seattle Storm won by 19.3 pts
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightJohnson created in difficult areas and delivered — 100% from L.Mid (2/2) well above the 34% baseline for that zone.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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