This game · 144 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Dallas Wings won by getting the better shots.

led the way with 16 points on 7-for-10 (70%), headlined by 5-for-5 at the rim — 5.1 more than expected overall with 70% of attempts from the rim or corner, with Arike Ogunbowale close behind (+4.4 on 30 points).
- Dallas Wings created 9.7 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Dallas Wings outperformed expected value by 12.1 points on finishing.
- Q3 swung the look battle — Dallas Wings built a +7.2 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Dallas Wings lived in the midrange (27%) while Los Angeles Sparks was at 8% — a cleaner profile for Los Angeles Sparks.

carried the offense at the rim — 6/6 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 22% of Dallas's attempts came from above-arc threes vs 33% of Los Angeles's; Los Angeles tilted here more (33% vs 22%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 22% of Dallas's attempts came from above-arc threes vs 33% of Los Angeles's; Los Angeles tilted here more (33% vs 22%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Dallas Wings won by 15.2 pts
Dallas Wings won the turnover battle by 5 (17 total TO).
Turnovers never enter the shot log — a clean process win even when looks were even.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightAtkins's strongest zone was Cor 3 — 67% from Cor 3 (2/3) vs. a 44% expectation.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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