This game · 137 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
New York Liberty won on finishing, not shot quality.
led the way with 19 points on 6-for-9 (67%), headlined by 3-for-5 from above the break — 5.0 more than expected overall on a night most other looks were tougher, with Satou Sabally close behind (+4.5 on 17 points).
- Chicago Sky created 1.5 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Chicago Sky outperformed expected value by 11.0 points on finishing.
- Q1 swung the look battle — Chicago Sky built a +3.6 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Chicago Sky lived in the midrange (24%) while New York Liberty was at 11% — a cleaner profile for New York Liberty.
carried the offense at the rim — 7/7 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 38% of New York's attempts came from above-arc threes vs 30% of Chicago's; New York tilted here more (38% vs 30%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 38% of New York's attempts came from above-arc threes vs 30% of Chicago's; New York tilted here more (38% vs 30%).
Possession context
CHI ran more early offense in this game.
Chicago Sky got 35% of FGA in transition (0.97 expected pts/att) vs 15% for New York Liberty (1.02 expected pts/att).
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
New York Liberty won by 7.1 pts — SQ edge said CHI.
Chicago Sky got the better looks, but New York Liberty won the full process battle by 7.1 pts.
Process edge blends expected points from shots, finishing, free throws, turnover cost, and second-chance value — not just who found the better offense.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightTaylor created in difficult areas and delivered — 57% from Above (4/7) well above the 33% baseline for that zone.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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