TSRBeta
Monday, June 15, 2026 · Final

This game · 126 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots

58—78
Los Angeles Sparks
LA
Sparks
GSV
Valkyries
Golden State Valkyries

Golden State Valkyries won by getting the better shots.

Kaila Charles

led the way with 13 points on 5-for-7 (71%), including 2-for-3 from three — 5.4 more than expected on a night most looks were tough (29% from the rim or corner).

  1. Golden State Valkyries created 5.0 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
  2. Golden State Valkyries outperformed expected value by 3.3 points on makes and misses.
  3. Q2 swung the look battle — Golden State Valkyries built a +5.3 expected-point edge in that period.

Shot quality

Shot selection edge
-5.0↓ Below avg
+5.0↓ Below avg
Shot making
-11.7↑ Above avg
+3.3↓ Below avg
Expected pts per shot
0.91↓ Below avg
0.90↓ Below avg

Shot diet

Golden State Valkyries (14% good looks) and Los Angeles Sparks (8% good looks) ran comparable diets with small zone-by-zone differences.

Cecilia Zandalasini

bailed out the offense from the midrange — 4/4 from short midrange, a zone most players avoid for good reason.

Rim
LA
2%1/1 · 100% FG
GSV
3%2/2 · 100% FG
1/1 1/1
Paint
LA
32%11/19 · 58% FG
GSV
29%11/19 · 58% FG
3/3 3/3
Corner 3
LA
7%0/4 · 0% FG
GSV
11%2/7 · 29% FG
0/3 1/2
Short midKey zone

This is where the shot diets diverged most — 30% of Los Angeles's attempts came from short midrange vs 17% of Golden State's; Los Angeles settled here more often (30% vs 17%).

LA
30%5/18 · 28% FG
GSV
17%7/11 · 64% FG
0/5 4/4
Long mid
LA
2%0/1 · 0% FG
GSV
20%1/13 · 8% FG
0/1 0/3
Above break
LA
28%3/17 · 18% FG
GSV
21%5/14 · 36% FG
1/2 2/4

Possession context

LA ran more early offense in this game.

Los Angeles Sparks got 25% of FGA in transition (0.88 expected pts/att) vs 12% for Golden State Valkyries (0.93 expected pts/att).

LAGSV
Transition share25%12%
Second-chance share18%15%
After-steal share5%14%
Half-court expected pts/att0.890.95
Transition expected pts/att0.880.93

Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.

Process scorecard

Full process edge

Golden State Valkyries won by 29.0 pts

Golden State Valkyries won the turnover battle by 6 (16 total TO).

Turnovers never enter the shot log — a clean process win even when looks were even.

LAGSVEdge

Tracked FGA

Expected pts from shots54.759.7GSV
Finishing vs expected-11.7+3.3GSV

ESPN box score

Free throw pts1515Even
Turnovers1610GSV
Offensive rebounds87LA

Process value (pts)

Process total44.473.3GSV
↳ Looks + finishing43.063.0-20.0
↳ Free throws15.015.0+0.0
↳ Turnover cost-22.0-12.0-10.0
↳ Second chance8.47.3+1.0

Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.

Player shots

Select a player · click a zone to highlight

FGM/A
5/12
FG%
42%
Pts
10
Vs expected
-0.2
C&S
0/2
Late clk
—
Zones

Key insightZandalasini lived in the midrange — 58% of attempts from tough spots, dragging shot quality down.

Short midrangeShort midrange
MadeMissCatch & shoot (filled dot)Late clock

Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.

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