This game · 140 FGA|Season model · 357 games · 48,742 shots
Dallas Wings won — the process matched the result.
led the way with 26 points on 10-for-19 (53%), headlined by 5-for-9 from above the break — 7.7 more than expected overall on a night most other looks were tougher.
- Dallas Wings created 0.2 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Both teams finished close to expectation on makes and misses.
- Q1 swung the look battle — Dallas Wings built a +4.7 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Dallas Wings (11% good looks) and Phoenix Mercury (7% good looks) ran comparable diets with small zone-by-zone differences.
bailed out the offense from the midrange — 5/6 from short midrange, a zone most players avoid for good reason.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 35% of Phoenix's attempts came from above-arc threes vs 27% of Dallas's; Phoenix tilted here more (35% vs 27%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 35% of Phoenix's attempts came from above-arc threes vs 27% of Dallas's; Phoenix tilted here more (35% vs 27%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Dallas Wings won by 19.0 pts
Dallas Wings won the turnover battle by 5 (14 total TO).
Turnovers never enter the shot log — a clean process win even when looks were even.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightBueckers created in difficult areas and delivered — 56% from Above (5/9) well above the 34% baseline for that zone.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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