This game · 136 FGA|Season model · 357 games · 48,742 shots
Golden State Valkyries won by getting the better shots.

scored with 10 points on 3-for-7 (43%), including 2-for-4 from three — 0.4 more than expected.
- Golden State Valkyries created 20.4 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Dallas Wings outperformed expected value by 5.7 points on makes and misses.
- Q3 swung the look battle — Golden State Valkyries built a +11.2 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Dallas Wings lived in the midrange (47%) while Golden State Valkyries was at 22% — a cleaner profile for Golden State Valkyries.

bailed out the offense from the midrange — 3/5 from short midrange, a zone most players avoid for good reason.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 27% of Dallas's attempts came from long midrange vs 6% of Golden State's; Dallas settled here more often (27% vs 6%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 27% of Dallas's attempts came from long midrange vs 6% of Golden State's; Dallas settled here more often (27% vs 6%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Golden State Valkyries won by 13.4 pts
Golden State Valkyries won the turnover battle by 5 (11 total TO).
Turnovers never enter the shot log — a clean process win even when looks were even.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightBurton's strongest zone was Paint — 50% from Paint (5/10) vs. a 40% expectation.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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