This game · 139 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Las Vegas Aces won by getting the better shots.
led the way with 24 points on 10-for-21 (48%), headlined by 4-for-8 from above the break — 4.4 more than expected overall on a night most other looks were tougher, with Cheyenne Parker-Tyus close behind (+4.1 on 18 points).
- Las Vegas Aces created 7.0 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Las Vegas Aces outperformed expected value by 14.5 points on finishing.
- Q2 swung the look battle — Las Vegas Aces built a +6.7 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Connecticut Sun attacked the rim more — 19% of attempts in the restricted area vs 9% for Las Vegas Aces.
bailed out the offense from the midrange — 4/5 from short midrange, a zone most players avoid for good reason.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 19% of Connecticut's attempts came from the rim vs 9% of Las Vegas's, with Connecticut leaning on the higher-value zone (19% vs 9%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 19% of Connecticut's attempts came from the rim vs 9% of Las Vegas's, with Connecticut leaning on the higher-value zone (19% vs 9%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Las Vegas Aces won by 41.3 pts
Las Vegas Aces won the turnover battle by 8 (19 total TO).
Turnovers never enter the shot log — a clean process win even when looks were even.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightYoung's strongest zone was Above — 50% from Above (4/8) vs. a 35% expectation.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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