This game · 142 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
New York Liberty won by getting the better shots.
led the way with 29 points on 8-for-11 (73%), headlined by 4-for-6 from above the break — 10.0 more than expected overall.
- New York Liberty created 3.3 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Chicago Sky outperformed expected value by 8.8 points on makes and misses.
- Q2 swung the look battle — New York Liberty built a +7.0 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Chicago Sky lived in the midrange (28%) while New York Liberty was at 16% — a cleaner profile for New York Liberty.
bailed out the offense from the midrange — 2/3 from long midrange, a zone most players avoid for good reason.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 24% of Chicago's attempts came from above-arc threes vs 32% of New York's; New York tilted here more (32% vs 24%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 24% of Chicago's attempts came from above-arc threes vs 32% of New York's; New York tilted here more (32% vs 24%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
New York Liberty won by 7.3 pts
New York Liberty won 2 of 3 process categories outside the shot log.
Free throws, turnovers, and offensive rebounds come from ESPN box scores — complementary to FGA-only shot quality above.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightStewart's strongest zone was Above — 50% from Above (2/4) vs. a 32% expectation.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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