TSRBeta
Thursday, August 27, 2026 · Final

This game · 134 FGA|Season model · 357 games · 48,742 shots

79—60
Golden State Valkyries
GSV
Valkyries
NY
Liberty
New York Liberty

Golden State Valkyries won by getting the better shots.

Cecilia Zandalasini

led the way with 20 points on 8-for-17 (47%), headlined by 2-for-3 from short midrange — 3.0 more than expected overall on a night most other looks were tougher, with Tiffany Hayes close behind (+2.3 on 12 points).

  1. Golden State Valkyries created 5.9 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
  2. Golden State Valkyries outperformed expected value by 3.4 points on makes and misses.
  3. Q2 swung the look battle — Golden State Valkyries built a +9.6 expected-point edge in that period.

Shot quality

Shot selection edge
+5.9↓ Below avg
-5.9↓ Below avg
Shot making
+3.4↓ Below avg
-18.6↑ Above avg
Expected pts per shot
0.98
1.01

Shot diet

New York Liberty got the cleaner diet — 30% rim or corner looks vs 18% for Golden State Valkyries.

Cecilia Zandalasini

bailed out the offense from the midrange — 2/3 from short midrange, a zone most players avoid for good reason.

Rim
GSV
10%4/7 · 57% FG
NY
11%5/7 · 71% FG
2/3 1/1
Paint
GSV
15%5/11 · 45% FG
NY
21%4/13 · 31% FG
3/3 2/3
Corner 3
GSV
8%4/6 · 67% FG
NY
19%1/12 · 8% FG
2/2 1/4
Short mid
GSV
15%4/11 · 36% FG
NY
14%3/9 · 33% FG
2/3 2/4
Long mid
GSV
13%4/9 · 44% FG
NY
5%0/3 · 0% FG
1/3 0/1
Above breakKey zone

This is where the shot diets diverged most — 38% of Golden State's attempts came from above-arc threes vs 30% of New York's; Golden State tilted here more (38% vs 30%).

GSV
38%9/27 · 33% FG
NY
30%6/19 · 32% FG
1/2 4/6

Possession context

NY ran more early offense in this game.

New York Liberty got 30% of FGA in transition (1.02 expected pts/att) vs 14% for Golden State Valkyries (1.01 expected pts/att).

GSVNY
Transition share14%30%
Second-chance share14%14%
After-steal share4%2%
Half-court expected pts/att0.970.99
Transition expected pts/att1.011.02

Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.

Process scorecard

Full process edge

Golden State Valkyries won by 8.0 pts

Golden State Valkyries got the better looks, but New York Liberty carried the process scorecard.

New York Liberty won the free-throw line by 9 pts. Those stops never show up in expected pts per attempt.

GSVNYEdge

Tracked FGA

Expected pts from shots69.663.6GSV
Finishing vs expected+3.4-18.6GSV

ESPN box score

Free throw pts615NY
Turnovers99Even
Offensive rebounds89NY

Process value (pts)

Process total75.467.4GSV
↳ Looks + finishing73.045.0+28.0
↳ Free throws6.015.0-9.0
↳ Turnover cost-12.0-2.0-10.0
↳ Second chance8.49.4-1.0

Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.

Player shots

Select a player · click a zone to highlight

FGM/A
2/12
FG%
17%
Pts
7
Vs expected
-7.2
C&S
0/4
Late clk
—
Zones

Key insightIonescu struggled most from Cor 3 — 0/3 against a 40% baseline.

Above-break three
MadeMissCatch & shoot (filled dot)Late clock

Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.

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