This game · 139 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Golden State Valkyries won by getting the better shots.

led the way with 15 points on 5-for-8 (63%), headlined by 5-for-5 from above the break — 7.1 more than expected overall on a night most other looks were tougher.
- Golden State Valkyries created 2.7 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Both teams finished close to expectation on makes and misses.
- Q1 swung the look battle — Golden State Valkyries built a +3.7 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Golden State Valkyries got the cleaner diet — 26% rim or corner looks vs 13% for Los Angeles Sparks.

bailed out the offense from the midrange — 3/5 from short midrange, a zone most players avoid for good reason.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 35% of Golden State's attempts came from above-arc threes vs 41% of Los Angeles's; Los Angeles tilted here more (41% vs 35%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 35% of Golden State's attempts came from above-arc threes vs 41% of Los Angeles's; Los Angeles tilted here more (41% vs 35%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Golden State Valkyries won by 7.0 pts
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightOgwumike lived in the midrange — 44% of attempts from tough spots, dragging shot quality down.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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