This game · 138 FGA|Season model · 357 games · 48,742 shots
Atlanta Dream won — the process matched the result.
led the way with 15 points on 6-for-10 (60%), headlined by 3-for-5 from above the break — 3.9 more than expected overall (40% from the rim or corner), with Angel Reese close behind (+3.4 on 21 points).
- Atlanta Dream created 1.2 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Atlanta Dream outperformed expected value by 5.5 points on makes and misses.
- Q1 swung the look battle — Atlanta Dream built a +6.0 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Atlanta Dream attacked the rim more — 42% of attempts in the restricted area vs 23% for Golden State Valkyries.
carried the offense at the rim — 4/5 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 23% of Golden State's attempts came from the rim vs 42% of Atlanta's, with Atlanta leaning on the higher-value zone (42% vs 23%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 23% of Golden State's attempts came from the rim vs 42% of Atlanta's, with Atlanta leaning on the higher-value zone (42% vs 23%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Atlanta Dream won by 37.9 pts
Atlanta Dream won the turnover battle by 7 (17 total TO).
Turnovers never enter the shot log — a clean process win even when looks were even.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightReese was sharp — 58% of attempts from good spots, headlined by 100% from Above (2/2) against a 39% baseline.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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