This game · 142 FGA|Season model · 357 games · 48,742 shots
Washington Mystics won — the process matched the result.
led the way with 21 points on 8-for-9 (89%), headlined by 5-for-5 at the rim — 8.1 more than expected overall with 67% of attempts from the rim or corner.
- Washington Mystics created 1.7 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Chicago Sky outperformed expected value by 10.7 points on finishing.
- Washington Mystics's edge came from rim pressure — 34% of attempts at the restricted area.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Washington Mystics got the cleaner diet — 46% rim or corner looks vs 27% for Chicago Sky.
carried the offense at the rim — 8/10 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 23% of Chicago's attempts came from the rim vs 34% of Washington's, with Washington leaning on the higher-value zone (34% vs 23%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 23% of Chicago's attempts came from the rim vs 34% of Washington's, with Washington leaning on the higher-value zone (34% vs 23%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Washington Mystics won by 15.4 pts
Washington Mystics won 2 of 3 process categories outside the shot log.
Free throws, turnovers, and offensive rebounds come from ESPN box scores — complementary to FGA-only shot quality above.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightIriafen found the right spots (65% from the rim or corner) but couldn't finish — -2.5 below expected on those looks.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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