This game · 147 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Dallas Wings won by getting the better shots.
led the way with 22 points on 9-for-16 (56%), headlined by 3-for-5 from long midrange — 3.2 more than expected overall on a night most other looks were tougher, with Awak Kuier close behind (+2.8 on 10 points).
- Dallas Wings created 6.3 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Both teams finished below expectation — Dallas Wings held up better (2.9 pts below expected).
- Q1 swung the look battle — Dallas Wings built a +9.3 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Dallas Wings got the cleaner diet — 41% rim or corner looks vs 31% for Toronto Tempo.
carried the offense at the rim — 4/5 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 29% of Dallas's attempts came from above-arc threes vs 38% of Toronto's; Toronto tilted here more (38% vs 29%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 29% of Dallas's attempts came from above-arc threes vs 38% of Toronto's; Toronto tilted here more (38% vs 29%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Dallas Wings won by 23.1 pts
Dallas Wings won 3 of 3 process categories outside the shot log.
Free throws, turnovers, and offensive rebounds come from ESPN box scores — complementary to FGA-only shot quality above.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightMabrey's strongest zone was Rim — 100% from Rim (2/2) vs. a 60% expectation.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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