TSRBeta
Sunday, July 19, 2026 · Final

This game · 137 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots

82—90
Los Angeles Sparks
LA
Sparks
DAL
Wings
Dallas Wings

Dallas Wings won — the process matched the result.

Paige Bueckers

led the way with 25 points on 10-for-18 (56%), headlined by 2-for-2 from long midrange — 5.3 more than expected overall on a night most other looks were tougher.

  1. Dallas Wings created 0.9 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
  2. Dallas Wings outperformed expected value by 4.9 points on finishing.
  3. Q2 swung the look battle — Los Angeles Sparks built a +4.8 expected-point edge in that period.

Shot quality

Shot selection edge
-0.9↓ Below avg
+0.9↓ Below avg
Shot making
+2.8↓ Below avg
+4.9↓ Below avg
Expected pts per shot
1.02
1.02

Shot diet

Dallas Wings lived in the midrange (30%) while Los Angeles Sparks was at 16% — a cleaner profile for Los Angeles Sparks.

Dearica Hamby

carried the offense at the rim — 6/6 in the restricted area.

Rim
LA
35%18/24 · 75% FG
DAL
33%16/23 · 70% FG
6/6 3/4
Paint
LA
18%5/12 · 42% FG
DAL
9%2/6 · 33% FG
2/5 1/2
Corner 3
LA
1%0/1 · 0% FG
DAL
6%1/4 · 25% FG
0/1 0/2
Short mid
LA
13%3/9 · 33% FG
DAL
19%5/13 · 38% FG
2/3 3/7
Long mid
LA
3%1/2 · 50% FG
DAL
12%4/8 · 50% FG
1/1 0/3
Above breakKey zone

This is where the shot diets diverged most — 29% of Los Angeles's attempts came from above-arc threes vs 22% of Dallas's; Los Angeles tilted here more (29% vs 22%).

LA
29%6/20 · 30% FG
DAL
22%6/15 · 40% FG
2/2 2/4

Possession context

LADAL
Transition share24%26%
Second-chance share9%13%
After-steal share7%4%
Half-court expected pts/att1.021.00
Transition expected pts/att1.021.02

Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.

Process scorecard

Full process edge

Dallas Wings won by 8.2 pts

Dallas Wings won 2 of 3 process categories outside the shot log.

Free throws, turnovers, and offensive rebounds come from ESPN box scores — complementary to FGA-only shot quality above.

LADALEdge

Tracked FGA

Expected pts from shots69.270.1DAL
Finishing vs expected+2.8+4.9DAL

ESPN box score

Free throw pts1015DAL
Turnovers1317LA
Offensive rebounds510DAL

Process value (pts)

Process total73.281.5DAL
↳ Looks + finishing72.075.0-3.0
↳ Free throws10.015.0-5.0
↳ Turnover cost-14.0-19.0+5.0
↳ Second chance5.210.5-5.2

Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.

Player shots

Select a player · click a zone to highlight

FGM/A
10/18
FG%
56%
Pts
25
Vs expected
+5.3
C&S
1/4
Late clk
—
Zones

Key insightBueckers created in difficult areas and delivered — 100% from L.Mid (2/2) well above the 40% baseline for that zone.

Short midrangeShort midrange
MadeMissCatch & shoot (filled dot)Late clock

Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.

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