This game · 143 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Dallas Wings won on finishing, not shot quality.
led the way with 9 points on 3-for-6 (50%), headlined by 2-for-3 from above the break — 2.0 more than expected overall on a night most other looks were tougher.
- Chicago Sky created 1.2 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Dallas Wings outperformed expected value by 5.5 points on finishing.
- Q1 swung the look battle — Chicago Sky built a +8.2 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Chicago Sky got the cleaner diet — 41% rim or corner looks vs 22% for Dallas Wings.
carried the offense at the rim — 9/12 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 34% of Chicago's attempts came from the rim vs 21% of Dallas's, with Chicago leaning on the higher-value zone (34% vs 21%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 34% of Chicago's attempts came from the rim vs 21% of Dallas's, with Chicago leaning on the higher-value zone (34% vs 21%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Dallas Wings won by 3.8 pts — SQ edge said CHI.
Chicago Sky won 2 of 3 process categories outside the shot log.
Free throws, turnovers, and offensive rebounds come from ESPN box scores — complementary to FGA-only shot quality above.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightBueckers lived in the midrange — 44% of attempts from tough spots, dragging shot quality down.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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