This game · 134 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Chicago Sky won on finishing, not shot quality.
led the way with 15 points on 6-for-10 (60%), headlined by 2-for-3 at the rim — 3.6 more than expected overall on a night most other looks were tougher, with Elizabeth Williams close behind (+3.2 on 14 points).
- Los Angeles Sparks created 2.5 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Chicago Sky outperformed expected value by 12.8 points on finishing.
- Erica Wheeler carried the finishing gap — +4.8 vs expected on 14 points.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Chicago Sky attacked the rim more — 38% of attempts in the restricted area vs 28% for Los Angeles Sparks.
carried the offense at the rim — 7/8 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 28% of Los Angeles's attempts came from the rim vs 38% of Chicago's, with Chicago leaning on the higher-value zone (38% vs 28%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 28% of Los Angeles's attempts came from the rim vs 38% of Chicago's, with Chicago leaning on the higher-value zone (38% vs 28%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Los Angeles Sparks won by 2.3 pts
Chicago Sky won 2 of 3 process categories outside the shot log.
Free throws, turnovers, and offensive rebounds come from ESPN box scores — complementary to FGA-only shot quality above.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightWilliams was sharp — 55% of attempts from good spots, headlined by 100% from Rim (6/6) against a 57% baseline.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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