This game · 146 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Los Angeles Sparks won by getting the better shots.
led the way with 24 points on 11-for-18 (61%), headlined by 2-for-3 from above the break — 5.7 more than expected overall.
- Los Angeles Sparks created 4.4 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Los Angeles Sparks outperformed expected value by 7.4 points on finishing.
- The game flipped in the fourth quarter — Los Angeles Sparks created a +5.2 expected-point edge in Q4.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Los Angeles Sparks (46% good looks) and New York Liberty (42% good looks) ran comparable diets with small zone-by-zone differences.
carried the offense at the rim — 8/10 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 42% of New York's attempts came from above-arc threes vs 29% of Los Angeles's; New York tilted here more (42% vs 29%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 42% of New York's attempts came from above-arc threes vs 29% of Los Angeles's; New York tilted here more (42% vs 29%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
New York Liberty won by 0.1 pts — SQ edge said LA.
Los Angeles Sparks won the turnover battle by 8 (17 total TO).
Turnovers never enter the shot log — a clean process win even when looks were even.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightOgwumike created in difficult areas and delivered — 67% from Above (2/3) well above the 37% baseline for that zone.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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