This game · 135 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Connecticut Sun won by getting the better shots.
led the way with 15 points on 5-for-8 (63%), headlined by 2-for-3 from above the break — 4.7 more than expected overall on a night most other looks were tougher.
- Connecticut Sun created 8.3 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Both teams finished below expectation — Connecticut Sun held up better (2.1 pts below expected).
- Q3 swung the look battle — Connecticut Sun built a +7.6 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Connecticut Sun attacked the rim more — 28% of attempts in the restricted area vs 19% for Seattle Storm.
carried the offense at the rim — 3/4 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 28% of Connecticut's attempts came from the rim vs 19% of Seattle's, with Connecticut leaning on the higher-value zone (28% vs 19%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 28% of Connecticut's attempts came from the rim vs 19% of Seattle's, with Connecticut leaning on the higher-value zone (28% vs 19%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Connecticut Sun won by 17.3 pts
Connecticut Sun won 2 of 3 process categories outside the shot log.
Free throws, turnovers, and offensive rebounds come from ESPN box scores — complementary to FGA-only shot quality above.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightHiedeman's strongest zone was Paint — 67% from Paint (4/6) vs. a 40% expectation.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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