This game · 166 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Dallas Wings won by getting the better shots.
led the way with 26 points on 11-for-17 (65%), headlined by 4-for-5 from long midrange — 8.0 more than expected overall on a night most other looks were tougher.
- Dallas Wings created 12.4 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Dallas Wings outperformed expected value by 16.3 points on finishing.
- Q2 swung the look battle — Dallas Wings built a +6.2 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Seattle Storm (30% good looks) and Dallas Wings (34% good looks) ran comparable diets with small zone-by-zone differences.
carried the offense at the rim — 7/9 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 30% of Dallas's attempts came from the rim vs 23% of Seattle's, with Dallas leaning on the higher-value zone (30% vs 23%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 30% of Dallas's attempts came from the rim vs 23% of Seattle's, with Dallas leaning on the higher-value zone (30% vs 23%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Dallas Wings won by 14.2 pts
Dallas Wings won 2 of 3 process categories outside the shot log.
Free throws, turnovers, and offensive rebounds come from ESPN box scores — complementary to FGA-only shot quality above.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightMalonga created in difficult areas and delivered — 78% from Rim (7/9) well above the 58% baseline for that zone.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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