This game · 135 FGA|Season model · 357 games · 48,742 shots
Atlanta Dream won by getting the better shots.
led the way with 18 points on 6-for-8 (75%), headlined by 2-for-2 from above the break — 6.6 more than expected overall with 50% of attempts from the rim or corner.
- Atlanta Dream created 4.4 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Atlanta Dream outperformed expected value by 15.6 points on finishing.
- Q3 swung the look battle — Atlanta Dream built a +7.4 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Atlanta Dream got the cleaner diet — 43% rim or corner looks vs 27% for Chicago Sky.
carried the offense at the rim — 6/8 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 27% of Chicago's attempts came from the rim vs 37% of Atlanta's, with Atlanta leaning on the higher-value zone (37% vs 27%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 27% of Chicago's attempts came from the rim vs 37% of Atlanta's, with Atlanta leaning on the higher-value zone (37% vs 27%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Atlanta Dream won by 33.1 pts
Atlanta Dream won 3 of 3 process categories outside the shot log.
Free throws, turnovers, and offensive rebounds come from ESPN box scores — complementary to FGA-only shot quality above.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightReese was sharp — 62% of attempts from good spots, headlined by 75% from Rim (6/8) against a 57% baseline.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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