This game · 138 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Chicago Sky won on finishing, not shot quality.
led the way with 13 points on 4-for-6 (67%), headlined by 2-for-2 from above the break — 3.3 more than expected overall with 67% of attempts from the rim or corner.
- Connecticut Sun created 3.3 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Both teams finished below expectation — Chicago Sky held up better (0.1 pts below expected).
- Q1 swung the look battle — Connecticut Sun built a +4.8 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Chicago Sky (48% good looks) and Connecticut Sun (42% good looks) ran comparable diets with small zone-by-zone differences.
carried the offense at the rim — 4/4 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 41% of Connecticut's attempts came from the rim vs 45% of Chicago's, with Chicago leaning on the higher-value zone (45% vs 41%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 41% of Connecticut's attempts came from the rim vs 45% of Chicago's, with Chicago leaning on the higher-value zone (45% vs 41%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Chicago Sky won by 1.7 pts — SQ edge said CONN.
Connecticut Sun won 2 of 3 process categories outside the shot log.
Free throws, turnovers, and offensive rebounds come from ESPN box scores — complementary to FGA-only shot quality above.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightDiggins's strongest zone was Above — 67% from Above (2/3) vs. a 37% expectation.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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