This game · 133 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Golden State Valkyries won by getting the better shots.
led the way with 22 points on 8-for-13 (62%), headlined by 5-for-5 at the rim — 5.1 more than expected overall.
- Golden State Valkyries created 10.9 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Golden State Valkyries outperformed expected value by 3.1 points on makes and misses.
- Q2 swung the look battle — Golden State Valkyries built a +5.5 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Dallas Wings lived in the midrange (29%) while Golden State Valkyries was at 18% — a cleaner profile for Golden State Valkyries.
carried the offense at the rim — 5/5 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 8% of Golden State's attempts came from short midrange vs 21% of Dallas's; Dallas settled here more often (21% vs 8%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 8% of Golden State's attempts came from short midrange vs 21% of Dallas's; Dallas settled here more often (21% vs 8%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Golden State Valkyries won by 24.7 pts
Golden State Valkyries got the better looks, but Dallas Wings carried the process scorecard.
Dallas Wings won the free-throw line by 11 pts and the turnover battle by 5. Those stops never show up in expected pts per attempt.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightBueckers lived in the midrange — 58% of attempts from tough spots, dragging shot quality down.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
Learn how it works →