This game · 145 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Chicago Sky won by getting the better shots.
led the way with 19 points on 6-for-10 (60%), headlined by 4-for-6 from above the break — 5.8 more than expected overall on a night most other looks were tougher.
- Chicago Sky created 17.5 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Chicago Sky outperformed expected value by 1.7 points on makes and misses.
- Q3 swung the look battle — Chicago Sky built a +8.7 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Chicago Sky attacked the rim more — 39% of attempts in the restricted area vs 29% for Los Angeles Sparks.
carried the offense at the rim — 6/8 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 29% of Los Angeles's attempts came from the rim vs 39% of Chicago's, with Chicago leaning on the higher-value zone (39% vs 29%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 29% of Los Angeles's attempts came from the rim vs 39% of Chicago's, with Chicago leaning on the higher-value zone (39% vs 29%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Chicago Sky won by 15.1 pts
Chicago Sky won the turnover battle by 9 (18 total TO).
Turnovers never enter the shot log — a clean process win even when looks were even.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightStevens found the right spots (58% from the rim or corner) but couldn't finish — -2.9 below expected on those looks.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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