This game · 140 FGA|Season model · 357 games · 48,742 shots
Las Vegas Aces won — the process matched the result.
led the way with 35 points on 12-for-18 (67%), headlined by 3-for-3 from short midrange — 10.3 more than expected overall on a night most other looks were tougher.
- Las Vegas Aces created 0.5 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Las Vegas Aces outperformed expected value by 24.1 points on makes and misses.
- Q3 swung the look battle — Las Vegas Aces built a +5.8 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Las Vegas Aces attacked the rim more — 28% of attempts in the restricted area vs 18% for Seattle Storm.
carried the offense at the rim — 5/5 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 28% of Las Vegas's attempts came from the rim vs 18% of Seattle's, with Las Vegas leaning on the higher-value zone (28% vs 18%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 28% of Las Vegas's attempts came from the rim vs 18% of Seattle's, with Las Vegas leaning on the higher-value zone (28% vs 18%).
Possession context
LV ran more early offense in this game.
Las Vegas Aces got 39% of FGA in transition (1.00 expected pts/att) vs 18% for Seattle Storm (0.95 expected pts/att).
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Las Vegas Aces won by 40.9 pts
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightJohnson's strongest zone was Paint — 100% from Paint (2/2) vs. a 40% expectation.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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