This game · 119 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Dallas Wings won by getting the better shots.
led the way with 18 points on 7-for-12 (58%), headlined by 4-for-5 from above the break — 7.0 more than expected overall on a night most other looks were tougher.
- Dallas Wings created 21.0 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Dallas Wings outperformed expected value by 7.3 points on finishing.
- Q2 swung the look battle — Dallas Wings built a +9.3 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Washington Mystics got the cleaner diet — 41% rim or corner looks vs 27% for Dallas Wings.
carried the offense at the rim — 4/4 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 37% of Washington's attempts came from the rim vs 23% of Dallas's, with Washington leaning on the higher-value zone (37% vs 23%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 37% of Washington's attempts came from the rim vs 23% of Dallas's, with Washington leaning on the higher-value zone (37% vs 23%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Dallas Wings won by 44.4 pts
Dallas Wings won the turnover battle by 10 (19 total TO).
Turnovers never enter the shot log — a clean process win even when looks were even.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightBueckers created in difficult areas and delivered — 80% from Above (4/5) well above the 36% baseline for that zone.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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