This game · 150 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Dallas Wings won on finishing, not shot quality.
led the way with 19 points on 9-for-13 (69%), headlined by 5-for-6 at the rim — 4.9 more than expected overall (46% from the rim or corner).
- Chicago Sky created 0.9 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Dallas Wings outperformed expected value by 6.3 points on finishing.
- Chicago Sky's edge came from rim pressure — 39% of attempts at the restricted area.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Chicago Sky attacked the rim more — 39% of attempts in the restricted area vs 24% for Dallas Wings.
carried the offense at the rim — 5/6 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 39% of Chicago's attempts came from the rim vs 24% of Dallas's, with Chicago leaning on the higher-value zone (39% vs 24%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 39% of Chicago's attempts came from the rim vs 24% of Dallas's, with Chicago leaning on the higher-value zone (39% vs 24%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Dallas Wings won by 8.0 pts — SQ edge said CHI.
Chicago Sky got the better looks, but Dallas Wings won the full process battle by 8.0 pts.
Process edge blends expected points from shots, finishing, free throws, turnover cost, and second-chance value — not just who found the better offense.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightBueckers lived in the midrange — 47% of attempts from tough spots, dragging shot quality down.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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