This game · 152 FGA|Season model · 290 games · 39,575 shots
Toronto Tempo won on finishing, not shot quality.
led the way with 37 points on 14-for-24 (58%), headlined by 9-for-12 from above the break — 11.7 more than expected overall on a night most other looks were tougher.
- Connecticut Sun created 0.0 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
- Toronto Tempo outperformed expected value by 11.8 points on makes and misses.
- Q3 swung the look battle — Connecticut Sun built a +3.3 expected-point edge in that period.
Shot quality
Shot diet
Connecticut Sun got the cleaner diet — 50% rim or corner looks vs 37% for Toronto Tempo.
carried the offense at the rim — 5/6 in the restricted area.
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 43% of Toronto's attempts came from above-arc threes vs 24% of Connecticut's; Toronto tilted here more (43% vs 24%).
This is where the shot diets diverged most — 43% of Toronto's attempts came from above-arc threes vs 24% of Connecticut's; Toronto tilted here more (43% vs 24%).
Possession context
Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.
Process scorecard
Full process edge
Connecticut Sun won by 11.1 pts
Connecticut Sun won the turnover battle by 7 (15 total TO).
Turnovers never enter the shot log — a clean process win even when looks were even.
Tracked FGA
ESPN box score
Process value (pts)
Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.
Player shots
Key insightLacan's strongest zone was Cor 3 — 100% from Cor 3 (1/1) vs. a 44% expectation.
Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.
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