TSRBeta
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · Final

This game · 126 FGA|Season model · 357 games · 48,742 shots

67—62
Golden State Valkyries
GSV
Valkyries
ATL
Dream
Atlanta Dream

Golden State Valkyries won by getting the better shots.

Cecilia Zandalasini

scored with 10 points on 4-for-8 (50%), including 1-for-3 from three — 1.3 more than expected.

  1. Golden State Valkyries created 13.3 more expected points from field-goal attempts.
  2. Both teams finished below expectation — Golden State Valkyries held up better (12.4 pts below expected).
  3. Q1 swung the look battle — Golden State Valkyries built a +13.0 expected-point edge in that period.

Shot quality

Shot selection edge
+13.3↑ Above avg
-13.3↑ Above avg
Shot making
-12.4↑ Above avg
-15.1↑ Above avg
Expected pts per shot
0.95
1.02

Shot diet

Golden State Valkyries lived in the midrange (32%) while Atlanta Dream was at 17% — a cleaner profile for Atlanta Dream.

Rhyne Howard

bailed out the offense from the midrange — 3/4 from short midrange, a zone most players avoid for good reason.

Rim
GSV
15%8/11 · 73% FG
ATL
22%7/12 · 58% FG
2/2 2/2
Paint
GSV
18%3/13 · 23% FG
ATL
19%2/10 · 20% FG
1/2 2/8
Corner 3
GSV
7%1/5 · 20% FG
ATL
4%0/2 · 0% FG
0/2 0/1
Short mid
GSV
26%9/19 · 47% FG
ATL
15%5/8 · 63% FG
3/9 3/4
Long mid
GSV
6%2/4 · 50% FG
ATL
2%0/1 · 0% FG
2/2 0/1
Above breakKey zone

This is where the shot diets diverged most — 28% of Golden State's attempts came from above-arc threes vs 39% of Atlanta's; Atlanta tilted here more (39% vs 28%).

GSV
28%3/20 · 15% FG
ATL
39%4/21 · 19% FG
1/2 1/3

Possession context

GSVATL
Transition share17%24%
Second-chance share18%17%
After-steal share3%6%
Half-court expected pts/att0.920.96
Transition expected pts/att1.021.06

Inferred from ESPN play-by-play — transition, steals, and offensive rebounds before each FGA. Not official possession tracking.

Process scorecard

Full process edge

Golden State Valkyries won by 14.0 pts

Golden State Valkyries won the turnover battle by 9 (18 total TO).

Turnovers never enter the shot log — a clean process win even when looks were even.

GSVATLEdge

Tracked FGA

Expected pts from shots68.455.1GSV
Finishing vs expected-12.4-15.1GSV

ESPN box score

Free throw pts1122ATL
Turnovers918GSV
Offensive rebounds1312GSV

Process value (pts)

Process total72.658.6GSV
↳ Looks + finishing56.040.0+16.0
↳ Free throws11.022.0-11.0
↳ Turnover cost-8.0-16.0+8.0
↳ Second chance13.612.6+1.0

Process total = expected pts from shots + finishing + free throws − turnover cost + second-chance value (1.05 expected pts per OReb). SQ edge alone ignores the last three terms.

Player shots

Select a player · click a zone to highlight

FGM/A
6/14
FG%
43%
Pts
19
Vs expected
-0.4
C&S
1/7
Late clk
—
Zones

Key insightHoward's strongest zone was S.Mid — 75% from S.Mid (3/4) vs. a 39% expectation.

Above-break three
MadeMissCatch & shoot (filled dot)Late clock

Expected value is an estimate from public shot data — location, shooter history, and shot clock. No defender distance, closeout speed, spacing, or proprietary tracking.

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Jul 19CHI91–93ATL· Jul 19CONN63–72PHX· Jul 19NY88–108IND· Jul 18POR93–101MIN· Jul 18WAS69–74GSV· Jul 18SEA107–110IND· Jul 17ATL111–92TOR· Jul 17LA82–96CHI· Jul 17CONN96–83PHX· Jul 17POR75–56WAS· Jul 16NY0–0DAL· Jul 16SEA90–95CHI· Jul 15LA87–96MIN· Jul 15GSV88–75IND· Jul 15POR87–90CONN· Jul 14WAS79–62TOR· Jul 14LA92–101ATL· Jul 13PHX100–104MIN· Jul 13NY91–93TOR· Jul 12SEA79–84WAS· Jul 12CHI91–96DAL· Jul 12IND109–75LV· Jul 12NY85–90MIN· Jul 11PHX58–106LV· Jul 11POR102–92ATL· Jul 11GSV79–64CONN· Jul 10DAL108–95TOR· Jul 10CHI87–102LA· Jul 10SEA78–89ATL· Jul 9IND92–89PHX· Jul 9LV88–80POR· Jul 9GSV83–75TOR· Jul 8MIN86–80CONN· Jul 8IND92–106LA· Jul 8DAL88–77NY· Jul 7CHI77–66PHX· Jul 7GSV62–49WAS· Jul 6CONN90–89MIN· Jul 6SEA82–64LA· Jul 6DAL89–76TOR· Jul 5IND84–68LV· Jul 5GSV88–83ATL· Jul 4POR77–72SEA· Jul 4MIN86–99NY· Jul 3CHI90–98LV· Jul 3ATL76–81WAS· Jul 2DAL86–83CONN· Jul 2SEA67–90PHX· Jul 2LV85–93NY· Jun 30MIN85–77DAL· Jun 28POR123–124WAS· Jun 28LV107–99CHI· Jun 28NY67–76GSV· Jun 28PHX89–80TOR· Jun 27LA87–111IND· Jun 27ATL90–105SEA· Jun 27WAS57–68CONN· Jun 26POR94–124CHI· Jun 26ATL75–78GSV· Jun 26LA97–125TOR· Jun 25DAL84–99LV· Jun 25NY88–99SEA· Jun 25PHX111–109IND· Jun 24MIN78–76WAS· Jun 24POR78–101CHI· Jun 24ATL66–77GSV· Jun 24NY87–76LV· Jun 23CHI63–92CONN· Jun 22TOR87–94ATL· Jun 22PHX77–86IND· Jun 22DAL112–110SEA· Jun 22GSV73–92LV· Jun 21WAS84–79MIN· Jun 21NY97–98LA· Jun 21IND96–113ATL· Jun 20SEA73–93PHX· Jun 20CHI92–93DAL· Jun 20TOR101–97CONN· Jun 19WAS86–83NY· Jun 19MIN81–75GSV· Jun 19ATL108–101IND· Jun 18WAS88–81CONN· Jun 17NY96–95CHI· Jun 17DAL80–91GSV· Jun 17MIN99–83LA· Jun 17LV86–76PHX· Jun 17SEA89–94POR· Jun 17TOR91–113IND· Jun 16LV66–96DAL· Jun 15POR74–107MIN· Jun 15LA58–78GSV· Jun 15WAS64–86NY· Jun 14ATL102–77TOR· Jun 14IND85–75CONN· Jun 13MIN97–100LV· Jun 13DAL83–84POR· Jun 13LA111–102PHX· Jun 13TOR85–86WAS· Jun 12GSV76–72SEA· Jun 12CHI106–114IND· Jun 11NY104–90ATL· Jun 11PHX70–85DAL· Jun 11LV105–89POR· Jun 11CONN102–106TOR· Jun 10LA88–83SEA· Jun 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21POR73–90IND· May 20DAL99–89CHI· May 20CONN80–78SEA· May 20TOR98–90PHX· May 19WAS69–92DAL· May 18CONN82–83POR· May 18CHI86–79MIN· May 17LV85–84ATL· May 17SEA78–89IND· May 17TOR106–96LA· May 17LV101–94CONN· May 15WAS104–102IND· May 15TOR95–99LA· May 15CHI83–91PHX· May 15MIN90–86DAL· May 14NY100–82POR· May 14SEA73–86TOR· May 13LV98–69CONN· May 13CHI69–63GSV· May 13IND87–78LA· May 13ATL77–72DAL· May 12MIN88–84PHX· May 12NY96–98POR· May 12SEA89–82CONN· May 10NY98–93WAS· May 10LV105–78LA· May 10PHX79–95GSV· May 10DAL107–104IND· May 9PHX99–66LV· May 9CHI98–83POR· May 9ATL91–90MIN· May 9CONN75–106NY· May 8WAS68–65TOR· May 8GSV91–80SEA· May 8NY79–67CONN· May 3LV84–101DAL· May 3LA85–75POR· May 3WAS83–72ATL· May 3TOR66–73MIN· May 1